Life through the eyes the observer

First of all, i want to apologize for the style of this article.
This is a translation form russian. But i really think it worth to publish, even with this far from perfect translation.

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This in the morning again in the USSR have appeared not only ossets. Back in USSR following categories of citizens could feel: other inhabitants of Georgia; ‘ national minorities ‘, for example, Chechens; the West; besides Russian to which now should live with the state, the device and which political ideology has ominous similarity to Soviet Union. Russia ambitious greedy militarists correct, and they are excited not too with borders of their sovereignty.

Did they got lucky or not - a question separate.

Last years the Russian state has distinguished the following. First, it has undergone to quite proved charges in murder of the citizen lived in London in exile. Secondly, it expropriated the foreign investment capital, operating on behalf of the raw company which itself and supervised. Thirdly, it helped separatists with neighbouring countries to destabilize independence recently received by neighbours.

And recently Russia has finally decided to cease to behave well, has started to bomb the independent state - Georgia - and has entered there armies.

Some from the set forth above actions were made under covering of maintenance of observance of the tax laws or ‘ peace-making activity ‘. Conversations about ‘ democracies ‘ is too no more than covering: in fact all authority and all of money in the country more and more concentrate in hands of prime minister Vladimir Putin and other siloviki (former workers of prospecting services). It is necessary to tell, that siloviki not bad are able to select at people the property, but here to create values they are not able, therefore generally they squander selected then they should select something.

The similar system паразитирования with advantage has been copied in ‘ broken away ‘ regions of Georgia which the Kremlin has ostensibly taken under the protection. Almost all officials in ‘ the government ‘ South Ossetia - former workers of KGB from various regions of Russia. So, ‘ Minister of Internal Affairs ‘ earlier served in the Ministry of Internal Affairs of North Ossetia. Julia Latynina from ‘ the New newspaper ‘ caustically notices: ‘ South Ossetia is not territory, not the country and not a mode. This joint venture of generals with the ossetic bandits, used for extraction of profit from war with Georgia ‘.

In other words, it is the pity, sparsely populated reloading point, living drug-dealing, contraband, money-laundering and other criminal crafts.

Besides supply силовиков money, South Ossetia has one more purpose - to destabilize a situation in westernized Georgia. At regular intervals firing at nearby Georgian villages, ossets have provoked Georgian president Michael Saakashvili to retaliation military operation which, similar, will terminate catastrophically.

But if Georgia stayed idle, Russia one step at a time would include region in structure of the territory. Putin has already distributed to residents of South Ossetia the Russian passports. Result one: extension of the Russian expansion, revenge of Georgia for the courageous union with the West and annexation of South Ossetia (now in it peacemakers ‘ manage Russian ‘).

Here so, guys. Back in USSR - and in any way differently.

Whether mister Putin present перекройкой borders will be satisfied? Last at night the Russian tanks have entered on territory actually Georgia. Whether it will continue to cripple the country? Whether it will block the unique pipeline in the world on which the Central Asian oil arrives at the West without transit through territory of Russia? And if will block, whether it will descend to it from hands?

In Moscow, apparently, believe, that they will manage to give out impudent capture of another’s territory for ‘ peacekeeping ‘ the operation, called to stop ‘ a genocide ‘ and ‘ ethnic cleanings ‘, ostensibly carried out Georgians. This is actively popularized during mass PR-campaign in Russia and on a world scene. Originally this нарратив even has found supporters in the environment of those people from the point of view of which any opposed George Bush or against his allies inevitably appears right.

So, many approved, that the recognition mister n was the answer to a recognition of independence of Kosovo the United States America and the European Union. Russia, however, helps separatists sixteen years. It is in that case found out, that before us the unique case which is not having precedents in history of mankind, namely: consequence precedes the reason in time.

Other attempt to soften the antiRussian rhetoric became the application that Саакашвили has andered mister Putin, having wished to enter NATO. The given argument is practical application put forward by philosopher Roger Scruton a postulate, that ‘ defense is equivalent to an attack ‘.

Actually events of the last week have shown only that Saakashvili was right, looking for protection against the Russian aggression. If membership in the NATO of Georgia has been given, in the Kremlin once again would reflect, it is necessary to them to attack Georgia or not.

The rattling mix skilful PR-campaign in the Russian mass-media and cultural мазохизма to the western public basically could lead to that the West would swallow capture of South Ossetia by Russia and even Abkhazia, - business would manage pair formal protests then the parties would return to conducting the affairs in a usual mode. The similar script even now is not represented improbable - the German society is especially hard amazed by pacifism - but there are three arguments against a policy of appeasement.

The first is a kind of the Russian tanks, with a roar moving on the Georgian territory. Thirty-year anniversary of an attack to Czechoslovakia has wakened old memory of atrocities of Soviet Union. The second is that tanks have not stopped on border of separative regions, and have continued movement on territory actually Georgia. This circumstance substantially disavows ‘ peacekeeping ‘ the version of events and does inconvenient carrying out of border between an event and naked agression - such, as, for example, aggression of 1968 against Czechoslovakia. Thirdly, member states of an EU and the NATO earlier was satellites of the USSR, constantly lobby the active defensive policy concerning Russia. On Saturday Poland and the Baltics both international organizations have in common called to condemn the Russian aggression.

But how the West with condemnation can act? Russia has overwhelming strategic advantage in region. Hardly probable not the greatest the western diplomats can achieve that, is ‘ repeated freezing ‘ the conflict along those borders which will satisfy aspiration of Russia to keep the клептократические enclaves, and a conclusion of the Russian armies from the basic part of the Georgian territory. How promptly Russia develops the success, the similar arrangement will be to seem, perhaps, achievement.

But in the long-term period all looks a little differently. If Russia turns to similarity of the USSR, means, the West should defend built after the termination ‘ cold war ‘ the international system and to protect the former communistic countries from neoimperialist Putin.

The direct gain of Georgia will lead new ‘ to cold war ‘ and to economic sanctions from the West. Besides danger will proceed and from the Russia as all Caucasian region is astable, and the Russian army more and more depends on inflow of recruits from among Chechens and other national minorities. The similar combination of conditions can terminate in accident for Moscow. We shall recollect, for example, Afghanistan.

But also less resolute actions from Russia can cause the serious answer in political area. So, the countries of the Central Europe disturbed by the Georgian crisis quite can immediately agree with the project of antimissile defense to which mister Putin resists. In this case the attack to Georgia will turn back against it. If membership in the NATO once again is will be offered to Georgia, it attempt to brake will prove, that process of its introduction into an alliance, on the contrary, will promote its acceleration. The similar offer can be made and Ukraine as to Georgia Kiev considers an attack as the prevention, addressed to it. At last, the West can aggravate adverse economic consequences of inclusion of South Ossetia in structure of Russia, having refused to recognize южноосетинские passports equivalent Russian and inflicted other trading sanctions. Then the Kremlin should look into poor, explosive and desperately demanding money a province.

It is better to hold more serious economic sanctions in a stock. Similar measures effectively act as threat, instead of as a reality. The West can declare, that violent actions from Russia will lead to introduction of economic sanctions, since exception from ‘ a G-8 ‘. Russia with its rapidly decreasing population, huge dependence on power resources and sharp demand for the western investments and the markets simply should apprehend similar threat seriously.

Certainly, Russia too can enter own economic sanctions - to stop deliveries of energy carriers, to ship the Europe in darkness. But time at them is such trump, it is better to learn to us about it too early, than too late.

Original source is here: http://inosmi.ru/stories/06/06/13/3482/243252.html

Tags: Georgia, Ossetia, Putin, Russia, South Ossetia, War